Analysis of Indonesian Employment Conditions 2020–2025: Challenges, Digital Transformation, and Labor Absorption Strategies

Authors

  • Citra Wulandari Manik Economics Study Program, Faculty of Economics, Medan State University
  • Hilkia Natasya Br Ginting Economics Study Program, Faculty of Economics, Medan State University
  • Mahlina Putri Manurung Economics Study Program, Faculty of Economics, Medan State University
  • Nadya Nafisha Economics Study Program, Faculty of Economics, Medan State University
  • Putri Andini Nasution Economics Study Program, Faculty of Economics, Medan State University
  • Salsabila Economics Study Program, Faculty of Economics, Medan State University
  • Dwi Nabila Putri Economics Study Program, Faculty of Economics, Medan State University
  • Aulia Putri Ramadhani Economics Study Program, Faculty of Economics, Medan State University
  • Noni Rozaini Economics Study Program, Faculty of Economics, Medan State University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26618/5gzf2w69

Keywords:

Employment; Digital Transformation; Labor Absorption; Digital Skills; Indonesia.

Abstract

This study examines the dynamics of Indonesia’s employment conditions during the 2020–2025 period by analyzing post-pandemic labor market recovery, the impact of digital transformation, and strategies for improving labor absorption. A qualitative approach employing a Systematic Literature Review (SLR) and descriptive analysis of secondary data was adopted. Data were collected from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), the International Labour Organization (ILO), the World Bank, OECD reports, and recent peer-reviewed publications related to employment and digital transformation. The findings indicate that Indonesia experienced a substantial labor market recovery, as reflected by the decline in the Open Unemployment Rate from 7.07% in 2020 to 4.76% in early 2025, accompanied by an increase in total employment to 145.77 million workers. Nevertheless, structural challenges remain significant, particularly the dominance of informal employment (56.1%), persistent skills mismatches, and widening digital competency gaps. Digital transformation has generated new employment opportunities in technology-based industries, e-commerce, and digital services while simultaneously increasing the risk of job displacement through automation and artificial intelligence. The study identifies three strategic policy priorities for strengthening labor absorption: reforming vocational education and digital skills development, expanding inclusive digital infrastructure to support labor-intensive sectors and MSMEs, and establishing flexible yet protective labor market regulations. The study concludes that maximizing Indonesia’s demographic dividend requires stronger collaboration among government, industry, and educational institutions to enhance workforce adaptability, improve labor productivity, and ensure that digital transformation contributes to inclusive employment and sustainable economic growth rather than widening socioeconomic inequalities.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Arifin, A., & Sani, N. M. (2019). Analisis data jumlah pasar tenaga kerja di Indonesia tahun 2015–2018. Kinerja: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen, 16(2), 108–117.

Badan Pusat Statistik. (2023). Keadaan ketenagakerjaan Indonesia Agustus 2023. Badan Pusat Statistik.

Brennen, J. S., & Kreiss, D. (2016). Digitalization. In K. B. Jensen, R. T. Craig, J. D. Pooley, & E. W. Rothenbuhler (Eds.), The International Encyclopedia of Communication Theory and Philosophy. Wiley-Blackwell.

Ferliana, N., Rahmadia, N., Amelia, N., Shinta, F., & Wijanani, R. S. (2025). Transformasi digital dan dampaknya terhadap mobilitas tenaga kerja di Indonesia. Jurnal Inovasi Makro Ekonomi (IME).

Kementerian Komunikasi dan Informatika Republik Indonesia. (2022). Strategi nasional transformasi digital Indonesia 2021–2024. Kementerian Komunikasi dan Informatika Republik Indonesia.

Kohesi. (2025). Pengaruh digitalisasi terhadap produktivitas dan adaptasi tenaga kerja di Indonesia. E-Journal Cahaya Ilmu Bangsa.

Lewis, W. A. (1954). Economic development with unlimited supplies of labour. The Manchester School, 22(2), 139–191.

Lianingsih, N., & Irman, D. (2025). The impact of the digital economy on employment and workforce structure in Indonesia. International Journal of Business Economics and Social Development.

Maharani, A., Rafli, A., Y. L., A. N., Masturi, M., Rudiansyah, & Ulum, B. (2024). Ketenagakerjaan di Indonesia: Tantangan dan peluang di era globalisasi. Jurnal Manajemen, Akuntansi dan Pendidikan (JAMAPEDIK), 1(2).

Mankiw, N. G. (2018). Macroeconomics (10th ed.). Worth Publishers.

OECD. (2020). Digital economy outlook 2020. OECD Publishing.

Rahayu, R., Aulia, R., Atriani, E., Nurhayati, N., Arni, A., & Arsal, M. (2024). Transformasi digital terhadap peran akuntan sebagai konsultan digital: Dampak sosial dan ekonomi terhadap pengembangan industri dan ekonomi digital. IJMA (Indonesian Journal of Management and Accounting), 5(2).

Sagara, R., Setiawan, A. H., Almuzafir, & Purnawan, E. (2025). Dinamika kependudukan dan ketenagakerjaan: Tantangan dan kebijakan berkelanjutan untuk Indonesia. Jurnal Alwatzikhoebillah: Kajian Islam, Pendidikan, Ekonomi, Humaniora.

Schwab, K. (2016). The Fourth Industrial Revolution. World Economic Forum.

Sukirno, S. (2011). Makroekonomi: Teori pengantar. Rajawali Pers.

Todaro, M. P. (2011). Pembangunan ekonomi di dunia ketiga. Erlangga.

Todaro, M. P., & Smith, S. C. (2015). Economic development (12th ed.). Pearson.

Universitas Swadharma. (2023). Analisis digitalisasi industri dan penciptaan kesempatan kerja di Indonesia. Jurnal Kompleksitas.

Wahyudi, A., Thoifurqoni Assyamiri, M. B., Al Aluf, W., Fadhillah, M. R., Yolanda, S., & Anshori, M. I. (2023). Dampak transformasi era digital terhadap manajemen sumber daya manusia. Jurnal Bintang Manajemen (JUBIMA), 1(4), 99–111.

Westerman, G., Bonnet, D., & McAfee, A. (2014). Leading digital: Turning technology into business transformation. Harvard Business Review Press.

Downloads

Published

2026-06-30

Issue

Section

Articles